Canada Projects Review

Canada · Industrial projects

Churchill Falls and Gull Island. Where 985 MW of export access comes from

Newfoundland and Labrador’s 2026 agreement raises its proposed hydro allocation to 2,350 megawatts and adds a 400-megawatt wind allocation. It also sets out four ways to reach export markets, with different physical and commercial terms.

Sources checked

Compare four export arrangementsComponents of the announced 985 MW export portfolio
  • New York connection240 MW
  • New England connection200 MW
  • Synthetic exports280 MW
  • Direct transmission265 MW

The two entries described as up to are maximum allocations. Synthetic exports are a commercial arrangement.

Source 1 Source 2 Source 3

The province would retain more hydro power

The December 2024 memorandum was non-binding. The August 2026 deal gives Newfoundland and Labrador an allocation of up to 2,350 MW from Churchill Falls and Gull Island, 360 MW above the 1,990 MW in the original proposal. The province describes a further 400 MW from a proposed wind project, taking the announced increase to 760 MW. Source 1 Source 2

Two named links provide 440 MW of access

The Champlain Hudson Power Express would provide up to 240 MW of access into New York. New England Clean Energy Connect would provide 200 MW. The province says that covered sales through those arrangements would receive the same price Hydro-Québec gets for the power. Those figures refer to the deal’s share of access, rather than the engineering capacities of the links. Source 1

Commercial access and physical delivery differ

The 985 MW headline also includes up to 280 MW of synthetic exports at US and Ontario market-based prices and 265 MW of direct transmission using sources such as Muskrat Falls and future wind. The synthetic entry describes market-priced sales. Its number should not be read as another named cross-border wire. Source 1

The September vote is a distinct project milestone

On 17 September the provincial government reported that the House of Assembly voted in favour of a resolution concerning the definitive cooperation and implementation agreement. The August terms also describe further steps for definitive agreements, federal project coordination and permitting. The published megawatts are deal terms and planned access, rather than current dispatch. Source 1 Source 3

Sources

Open the data and source notes